Tearing up the rulebook

Bernie Ecclestone says he wants to tear up the Formula 1 rule book and start again. He can’t do it, of course, which is why these things are being said in public, to create impressions. It’s true that he does want change, but this is only because the mess that he created does not currently work the way he wants it to work.

In truth, the ZDF TV interview that he did with Max Mosley really exposed the fact  that he can no longer force solutions. He is still powerful in lots of ways, but he has allowed himself to become ensnared in the very thing that he doesn’t believe in: democracy. He gave away his powers in exchange for deals that have kept the money flowing in, but he is now paying the price for them. The teams have chipped away at the money and the governance and Bernie has his hands tied. CVC knows that and wants out. The bonanza is over. They want a huge price to pass on the baton, but the buyers need to be wary and understand exactly what they are taking on. Perhaps that is why Bernie is pointing it out to them – to drive them away. He doesn’t really care who owns the sport if he’s still in charge. That is his game. 

It is important to say that there are solutions to all these problems, the problem is that the solutions are not to Bernie’s taste. There are still plenty of ways for the sport to develop financially, with a little investment, here and there, but above all with the cooperation of the teams. If they all worked together in a business sense, they would all make more money. That works in NASCAR. They race on the track and work together off it. They are not divided and conquered, they work with the owners in a constructive way. They work like a corporation. They also work with the circuit owners, rather than simply exploiting them.

The F1 rule book is fine, it just needs a few tweaks. The engines are exactly what F1 needs. They are relevant and the research is useful for the industry. Car manufacturers need to reduce emissions, not just to “save the world” but also to meet stringent government standards. F1 is still cheap when one looks at the R&D spending in the automobile industry. The problem is that there need to be rules that can be policed about engine supplies to customers, and price caps on engine bills. More manufacturers would come if the sport changed its image.

For the teams an overall budget cap would be sensible and a redistribution of revenues would be wise. And if Ferrari and others rattle their sabres and say they will leave, let them. They know they won’t. It makes no sense. There is no alternative.

Perhaps there is a case for an independent engine supplier, but someone has to pay for that. If F1 will not do it, who will? It is possible, but only if the owners stop taking every penny out of the sport. Yes, people say that these people exist to make money. I’m sure that’s right, but let them make money in pipe factories and dog food manufacturing, rather than ruining the sport that millions love.

In the end, when you boil it all down, it is not the rule book that needs tearing up, it is the commercial and governance deals that Ecclestone, Jean Todt and some of the teams have struck. They have to go. The governing body should govern and stay out of the commercial side of the sport. If the FIA wants to be a road safety body, fine, let them do road safety, but they should create an independent sporting arm to look after the sport. The teams should accept that it is wise for them to properly share the revenues. Yes, perhaps there should be some bonuses for good results, but the belief that the sport should pay Ferrari because of its “star” value is simply flawed. The “star” value will generate revenues elsewhere, from sponsorships, from merchandising and from car sales.

And the commercial rights people, they should have a smaller share but be contracted to promote the sport, looking at ways for the growth to be sustainable in the long term and not simply ripping cash out of the back door. New revenues from other things could mean a switch back to free-to-air TV, or at least to sensible content bundling on popular cable networks, it could mean lower race fees that would allow cheaper tickets and more money to invest to improve stadiums and make fan experience better. It could also means that the races would go to where they should be from a strategic point of view, rather than to places where the governments will pay huge sums to try to buy whatever it is they think they are buying.

To achieve all of this will not be easy, it will  require executives with vision and energy, not yes-men who are frightened of their own shadows. The European Commission could help the sport to achieve these goals, but a new owner with vision is probably the right answer, so long as they understand what they are doing…

106 thoughts on “Tearing up the rulebook

    1. As Deep Throat said during the Nixon scandal, follow the money. The travesty that the F1 organization has become is intimately tangled with greed. Years ago FOTA faced Ecclestone with a threat of the same type as when previously FOCA (unsurprisingly under Ecclestone’s direction) fought against FISA. His FOTA solution? Divide and conquer. With the enormous financial power provided him by the commercial rights to F1 in perpetuity (ok, 100 years, same), he offered “special bonuses” to the powerful teams to leave FOTA. He succeeded but that “solution” also created problems to F1 that look irremediable and seem to condemn F1 to a dichotomy of “haves” and financially precarious grid fillers. Most people in F1 praise Ecclestone’s genius in making F1 a professional endeavor but nobody seems to realize (or dare saying) that he inserted himself in the right place at the right time: TV was coming big time and a visually appealing sport such as F1 was obviously a must have for TV networks, that flood of money would have attracted many to be an F1 team. What has happened in terms of big audiences and popularity would have happened without Ecclestone, the most that he did is to accelerate the process. What he definitely contributed was far more greed of what it probably would have been if FIA had kept the reins of the sport. People complain about CVC avariciousness but its financial practices are just a continuation of Ecclestone’s which allowed him to become one of the richest men in the UK and, if anybody buys CVC shares (and why would CVC sell and invest in pipe factories and dog food manufacturing when F1 has been and is a dream of return on investment?), capitalistic philosophy means that they will continue those same methods. Profit is their single goal and they will only react to threats to it.
      Joe’s posting share a characteristic with Karl Marx’s writings: while his analysis is spot on, his proposed solutions are wistful. There seem to be only two short/medium term ways out of this comedic tragedy:
      1. That the EU as an independent powerful entity takes a hand in the organization of F1 and corrects its flaws. I can ramble about my reasons why I am pessimistic about this possibility.
      2. That FOTA reawakens in some way and secedes from F1 en masse. Of course, Ecclestone would make many lawyers rich by applying the clauses of fines in case of leaving that were included in the bonuses (as Red Bull is very much aware) and he also would continue past practices by offering even more bonuses to the big teams to abandon this rebellious bunch of troublemakers.
      The only long term path that I see is that all the teams refuse to sign long term contracts (maybe with EU support to avoid the Sophie’s choice of “sign or you are out”) and, when the terms expire, organize themselves into the new F1, profit themselves from this financial bonanza and work together (with somebody like Dorna’s consensus searching Ezpeleta at the helm, in a similar manner to his admirable job in motoGP; watch the recent Philip Island race to understand) to allow F1 to exit its present conundrum and to go to even greater heights including hopefully, if they are truly smart, offer teams with presently no chance (e.g. Williams) the financial means to go for front positions. Even if not successful, such a potential threat might induce CVC or its successor to reduce its financial take and return more money to the sport and in a more evenhanded way, if only to maintain its financial value by enticing hordes of new/returning fans into the sport.

  1. If Stephen Ross’ due diligence does not include a full-day session with Joe then he is an arrogant fool.
    Only the Chinese could be dumb enough to pay 10x trailing EBITDA for this unsustainable mess.

  2. The problem is that a new owner will have paid a huge sum to own the rights, and will still want to rip cash out of the back door.

    The only way to solve it is for someone to declare the FIA/F1 Commercial Rights deal unlawful/null and void and then to start again.

    Bernie and Max are a big part of the problem because they cooked the whole thing up between them (and made a shed-load of money out of it), so they definitely can’t be part of the solution.

      1. Joe, you say Max didn’t make money out of the 100 year deal. If that is the case (and I don’t doubt you), what did he get out of it? What made him sign the deal?

        1. What it did was cement the FIA’s position as the owner of the F1 World Championship, in a legal framework. That was quite important. Secondly, it created the FIA Foundation to work in areas that the FIA was not getting involved, such as road safety. It is absurd that the FIA and the FIA Foundation are now both pursuing road safety goals. Absurd.

          1. Is it possible the road safety operations are a laudable and government friendly “front” for other activities….[to put it crudely]? and not necessarily dodgy or illegal activities?

        2. I don’t think Joe did say that he didn’t make money out of it. I don’t know that he did, but I did read that Bernie gave him $100M. If that’s true, it might have just been out of friendship and love …

            1. Maybe you should try giving him a 100 year lease on something worth Billions of dollars then?

              Isn’t Blatter currently being investigated for selling FIFA world cup rights too cheaply to his friends?

          1. No, from what I read rumoured at the time (from Joe, I think, but I could be wrong, it was a long time ago), it was a much smaller figure than that. Started with a 30, I think.

  3. One last hurrah for old Bernie? In your opinion Joe, who do you think will take over from the bespectacled one when he eventually retires?

  4. An independent sporting arm to look after the sport? How about we call it FISA? Or how about just dumping Todt and getting someone competent in?

  5. If CVC went into the dog food business, we’d see 1 or 2 dogs of every dozen dropping dead each season… with another dog or two staying immensely fat…

    Do you think the EC can reasonably be expected to mandate changes that will make Doing Sensible Things easier? Or might they just require everyone to sit up straight in their chairs for a year or two before going back to some form of skulduggery?

  6. An excellent tour d’horizon Joe. The fact that Ecclestone and his money men would fight to the last barricade any sensible, pragmatic, energizing programme
    like this tells us all we need to know. This great tree of F1 has a canker which could kill it stone dead. Time now for some very drastic surgery. To change the metaphor, I can hear the screams of the money men as the pips are squeezed
    out of their cosy cabal.

    One gets the feeling that the ‘interesting times’ of the ancient Chinese curse
    are just around the corner. Bring it on.

  7. Joe, do you believe that BE’s “divide and conquer” powers have been diluted because of his blinkered attitude to closing the big deals?

  8. Great summary, Mr. S. You’ve been saying this for a long time now, it’s definitely been frustrating reading it, we can only hope that somehow someone with the ability and motivation to change things reads it and feels the same. The sport it a money making monster at the moment, finding someone who can afford to buy it and would still have the balls to turn their backs on the firehouse of cash plus the backing invest further for a long term gain…well, I’m not holding my breath.

  9. Eloquently put as always, we all await the new dawn – albeit the light at the end of the tunnel is probably a train. Interesting to read about BE not being able to force solutions. I think this was/is also apparent with Red Bull’s engine situation, where despite all the meetings, no solution has materialised. I’m afraid I don’t buy into the Merc/Ferrari excuse that they do not have the capacity where everyday we are reminded that in F1 the impossible is possible. Certainly not when a few days later Ferrari talk about testing the 16 engine this season and Merc stating that they could still do three cars next season.

    Looking forward to the next tv interview – I’m guessing Fox.

  10. “…but let them make money in pipe factories and dog food manufacturing, rather than ruining the sport that millions love.”

    You said it Joe! You can own race cars, you can race teams, but how you own a sport. It’s like owning culture or music or a city – absolutely preposterous!

  11. So it’s European Commission intervention and/or bust?

    Bird-watching to shift from grid-girls to Phoenix . . .

  12. Joe this sums up the feelings and frustrations of so many long term F1 fans. Thanks for summing it all up for us. Now do we just sit back and hope ?!

  13. Joe, do you have any thoughts on what F1 would look like today if Max’s budget cap went ahead and there was an affordable Cosworth enginer available.?

  14. Excellent vision of the future the Sport needs Joe. As usual your succinct comments hit the nail on the head, why the Manufacturers, FIA, and owners cannot see this I don’t understand. It is obvious to all parties that the problems of the future should be dealt with as soon as possible to enable another buyer invest safely as in Nascar? Ecclestone has made his billions and now with CVC is just trying to bleed the last few drops of income out of the sport before they both leave. Maybe with most team owners and Ecclestone all approaching retirement, this is the ideal time for the younger generation of team principals eg;Wolf, Horner, Williams etc to take the initiative and lead the sport into a new era. The same applies to the FIA, let Todt stick to his road safety program but find another leader possibly Brawn to shake up the FIA’s approach to the Motorsport program and genuinely lead the sport and apply some management directives and rules to the sport.
    Let us hope CVC and Ecclestone move on sooner rather than later and save our sport!

      1. …and, unfortunately, the only way to overcome such a dilemma is, either, to allow the sport to destroy itself and start anew, or have an outside authority (EU?) force the issue.

        1. I don’t agree. I think the sport can fix itself. Probably the first thing the EU will say to everyone is “sort this out, children”. They have more important things to worry about.

          1. Much as I respect your opinion, knowledge and insight, I cannot see the sport fixing itself. Too much greed and self interest. I hope I am wrong though.

  15. Joe relating to your post here are some questions I would like to ask you

    1.Joe are you suggesting Bernie should stand down? .

    2. Joe also if teams like Ferrari Red Bull , and Mercedes try to insist on keeping their bonuses then is only option for the FIA to set a fixed season participation fee and disband the WCC and just have a drivers championship?

    3 .Or could the FIA actually enforce a rule where what money you get depending solely on how you perform in a season in WCC- no bonuses?

    4. Do you think it is wrong that some free to air services (like the BBC in the UK) only get selected races live and some other country’s free to air services don’t get races at all because of pay TV?

    5 Whilst hybrids in may the be way forward why do believe that the best way to showcase was a V6 turbo with a strange capacity of 1.6 litres . No road car to going to have a hybrid v6 engine of that size. Car firms making sports cars ( like Mclaren and Ferrari) are more likely to cars with hybrid turbo engines of at least 3 litres and maybe 8 or 12 cylinders . So what makes you think the 1.6 V6 configuration in itself is so relevant Joe?

    1. 1) Bernie is not going to stand down voluntarily and therefore it is pointless exercise to suggest such a thing.
      2) Not at all. The teams have to obey the rules. The trouble is that the FIA has abdicated its responsibility in rule-making.
      3) The FIA could not do this.
      4) These are the effects of the market. However, a promoter can pick the deal he wants from broadcasters.
      5) The configuration is irrelevant, it is the energy recovery that is the important thing.

      1. Also what do think would be a sensible cost cap figure Joe? I was thinking somewhere in between $90m -$120 may be a sensible amount . Also if you were to take at least some of Ferrari’s bonuses by 2018/19 for example is it quite possible that it could lead Maranello to defect to WEC and other series? By the way whilst engine configuration may not be important in your view it is to me . Each to their own I suppose.

    2. Forthcoming relentlessly reducing targets for CO2 make small turbos and hybrids relevant. Car makers are struggling to meet the politicans whims in petrol as welk as diesel motors.

    3. Remember that originally it was supposed to be a 1.6l in line 4.

      Which at least makes more sense in terms of cylinder size and non-performance car road relevance.

      The problem was that that configuration was thought a bit mundane in terms of marketing opportunities by the engine manufacturers, hence the later shift.

      1. Agreed. And looking in the other direction, a turbo 3-litre F1 motor with energy recovery would probably be producing something well north of 1600 bhp. Sounds great, but it’s hard to imagine how you could race such a beastie on any existing circuit.

        And before anyone raises BMW’s 1500+ bhp qualifying grenades – downforce is massively greater than it was back then, meaning increased cornering and straightline speeds, and in the mid 1980s, the driver only had to keep the thing on track for a single lap. Race bhp was considerably lower for the sake of actually getting the thing to survive past the end of the first lap without melting or exploding.

  16. Why has Max suddenly risen from relative obscurity? He has been away for many years with only the odd comment now and again, But here he was taking the role of FIA president, his old job.

    He was again promoting the idea of a two tier rulebook, with great freedom for those who agreed to an expenditure cap. I kept a copy of his previous two tier rules for several years hoping that they could be introduced as some of the provisions were outstandingly advanced and would now be much easier to introduce and very fitting in today’s energy recovery mindset.

    It looks like desperation for Bernie to enlist Max once again publicly. Though of course the two are conjoined by many millions generated by their mutual cooperation. (I was going to say connivance but thought better of it) Max after all is responsible for the 100 year agreement, which gives Bernie ……everything!

  17. Hi Joe,

    Thank you, a very interesting piece.

    It seems like the sport that I love is being torn apart by in-fighting and secrecy. As a relatively young fan of the sport, can you tell me if these problems/politics have always been so prevalent in F1, or are things getting worse?

  18. On Bernie:

    He is short termist as you yourself have stated. I don’t think he cares about the future sale of the sport, I don’t think he cares about the EC complaints. he only has one thing on his mind and that is being the agent to solve the engine supply crisis that we are currently in. Renault has power over three teams currently. Red Bulls and Lotus. If it pulls away all together then Three teams could possibly be off the grid in 2016.

    There is a consistent thread in a number of BCE interviews these last few weeks. That is the independent engine supplier ala Cosworth. The message seems clear to me. BCE wants / is trying to get Red Bull to set up an engine shop (doesn’t matter under what name. Most likely it will be from Mechachrome / Renault though in the first instance.) This independent engine shop will then supply these three teams if Renault pulls out. This would be Bernie’s preference I believe.

    It would also introduce more choice and so reduce costs.

    Red Bull would then have an income stream and an engine to sell onto VW / Audi (whoever) at the right time. Buying the IP of the Renault engines (and the staff / manufacturing etc) is surely going to be cheaper than paying the exit clause in the FOM contract.

    What’s Mario Illien been doing again this year?

      1. I heard he is employed at Red Bull. First working on a solution for the Renault engine which was rejected by Renault and now maybe working on another engine for Red Bull which could be used in 2017 or 2018.

          1. Joe,

            Any idea why they apparently reject his suggestions, when Red Bull were supposedly much in favour of them?

  19. My understanding – from all the things I read – that part of the reason IndyCar split in the mid-’90s was (but not the biggest one) that CART wanted to make an American F1: they built the business strategy accordingly, but they didn’t have a Bernie to keep everyone in line with the ownership of commercial rights.

    1. I once read a very interesting article (unfortunately I can’t remember exactly where or when but it was about five years ago or so) speculating that Bernie might have had a hand in the CART/IRL split, by whispering in the ear of one of the key players (whom I shan’t name) that he could make SO much more money if only he did such-and-such.

      The split was the result and CART – which at that time was a serious rival to F1 on my viewing schedule – disintegrated, which I’m sure wasn’t Bernie’s plan at all.

      1. My recollection of the split is that it was brought about because Tony George, who had married into the Hulman family who own Indianapolis, was getting a bit piqued because not enough people in the CART organisation were listening to what he wanted for the series.

        His answer, create a new series and spend loads of the Hulman family money on supporting it.

        This came, I think, from an article by Gordon Kirby, an American journalist who used to, maybe still does, write the occasional article for Autosport magazine on the U.S. racing scene. It was at the time of the reconcilliation reviewing how the US single-seater series got itself into such a mess.

        Martin

        1. He didn’t use marriage to obtain the power to singlehandedly destroy American open-wheel racing, he was born into the family…

          The family eventually fired him, but not until well after the immense damage was done…

          He’s still unrepentant…

        2. Martin: indeed, and I think I remember the article you refer to, but an earlier one (possibly also written by GK, but I forget) implied, if I remember correctly, that TG was heavily encouraged by BE whispering in his ear to make the decision he did.

  20. The one thing that still strikes is me is how very unbalanced the payments to the teams are. As you posted yourself last November, Ferrari getting around 210 million means they get as much money as any of the three mid-tier teams combined (i.e. Lotus + Force India + Toro Rosso). How that could ever be a fair competition is beyond me.

    As a comparison, in the Premier League (which is beyond any doubt wildly successful worldwide), the difference in price money between first and last is (and these numbers are even fully public!) around 50% with the last team, QPR, getting 65 million and the first team, Chelsea, getting 99 million.

    That is a basis for sound competition. There is an incentive to do well but every team has a chance at being sustainable. As for F1? Not so much. Ferrari (as the worst offender) getting 110million off the top (which is still almost the same as about what Marussia and Toro Rosso get together) before the prize money calculations even kick in.

  21. A very key point being that a new owner understands what they are doing… As wealthy as these people with experience in NFL and French football and/or the US cable business may be they are not likely to understand F1 like Bernie and Max and even Jean Todt do. Or for that matter RedBull, Niki Lauda, Ferrari and so on.

  22. I can’t say I really agree with everything there Joe but as ever with wealthy buyers, they’re more than happy to invest vast sums if they can see it as being investment rather than burning cash.

    Frankly, I just wish Mercedes hadn’t done such a good job with their chassis and especially their engine.

    Whilst I actually quite like Mr E and all he’s done for F1, nobody’s going to buy into F1 whilst he’s in charge.

  23. Good sensible material here.Been wondering though,how do write all these stuff without Uncle Bernie not hitting back at you?I love your tell it to the face stance!You certainly are in Bernie’s bad book.

    1. I don’t see why. I use the same approach with everyone. This a sport that I love and I have made it my mission to try to always see it from the perspective of the fans, and what is good for the sport. He may not agree, Jean Todt may not agree, the top teams may not agree, but that is the motivation.

  24. A brilliantly cogent and concise case for the change F1 desperately needs. Any prospective buyer who won’t spare five minutes to read it is unqualified to own or run F1.

    A thought about Ferrari: with the IPO, any sabre-rattling will be less credible than ever, with their new shareholders making sure they remain committed to the astoundingly effective global shop-window F1 has given them these last 65 years.

    Regarding the 1.6-litre engines, this is what the manufacturers asked for and this displacement is also the upper end of the fastest growing engine-capacity segment worldwide (1.0-1.6 litres).

  25. you fools have been saying this for years ….. Yet under Berni the sport has become safer more exciting with some of the best racing I have ever seen ( I have been deep working in F1 for more than 3 decades now)… F1 is full,,, I SAY FULL of egos ,,,, even jurnos have them BIG ones too… things change …. get on with it teams have come & gone forever some sooner than others ….. do a good job & they stay. F1 doesn’t care who owns it makes the rules or what ever if F1 cared it would have changed years ago BEFORE BERNI made they all sticking RICH !!!

    1. And a good afternoon to you too. If you are going to write comments, it might be wise to try to stay polite and coherent. Perhaps Bernie has made you rich, but you clearly do not understand the financial side of the modern media. Until you do, I think it best to be quiet and polite.

    2. I sincerely hope you don’t work in F1 otherwise someone’s HR dept. has serious issues to deal with…..

  26. A good piece Joe, thanks for writing.

    I agree with much of what you’ve said, save a couple of points.

    I honestly don’t believe F1 needs hybrid engines. The sport would be better off if we had never changed the engines; one cannot deny that the change has led to soaring costs, a greater disparity in machinery (even compared to the Red Bull dominance, which was just as undesirable but a lot harder to fix!) and Joe – whether you like it or not – it has been a huge turn off for many fans. Maintaining the status quo would not have turned anyone off.

    It’s hard to believe that fuel efficiency/hybrid engines has attracted a single viewer, given that the subject matter is every bit as mundane as it is difficult to achieve. I applaud the achievement but I struggled to get excited about the feat of engineering approximately 5 minutes after I learned of it. Visceral it is not.

    The sport also has no ‘need’ to lead manufacturer R&D into hybrid technology. What if we had a supply of old V8s or V10s and had just stuck with them? Is there anything wrong with that? The sport is not green; it transports a travelling circus of 3000+ people and freight to every event and encourages 100,000 fans to travel miles by land, sea and air to get to each race. You could probably cut the carbon footprint to about 1/5th by reducing the calendar to 16 races and basing the majority in Europe (I’m not suggesting we do that, I’m just pointing out how the green argument is ridiculous). I also wouldn’t argue that the tech F1 has developed hasn’t been and/or won’t be useful, or indeed applied to road cars in future; I’m sure it will. But F1 didn’t ‘need’ to do this, it would have been better off without, as we’re now proving.

    I have never MET a fan that prefers the new engines, although there are many that show themselves online. I think we could all agree that at the very best, opinion is split, if not polarised. However, in my opinion the less time we spend talking about engines (and associated matters e.g. being up/down on power, fuel saving, mapping, exhaust blowing etc.) and tyres, the closer we get to our target state of greater parity of machinery, and therefore closer racing and far more focus on human competition.

    So, I put it to you Joe (and everyone else) that the engine change was not required and today’s engines aren’t what the sport needs. If you suggest that you’re happy for Ferrari to leave if they want to, then why not have called Renault’s bluff a few years ago and kept the engines as they were? If we had done, today we would have:

    + closer competition
    + greatly reduced costs for smaller teams
    + less power with the manufacturers
    + vastly reduced barriers to entry for an independent supplier e.g. Cosworth
    + no complaints from fans about lack of noise / theatre
    + far less emphasis or talk around fuel-saving
    + no farcical grid penalties
    + no pandemic of Motor Generator Unit acronyms to annoy die-hards, confuse normal and utterly baffle casual fans
    + better racing as a result of closer competition & no need to fuel save
    + no political debacle that we’re witnessing today (I’m sure we’d find another to be fair!)

    The negatives as far as I can see:

    – the engines would be less ‘relevant’ (which was somehow invented as a problem post 2008 financial crisis because I can’t remember too many F1 engines finding themselves in road cars (perhaps in the 1950’s?). In fact I would also challenge that an 800 bhp naturally-aspirated engine is less relevant to an average Joe (not you, Joe) than a 950 bhp turbo with 200 bhp-worth of motor generators that you can potentially electrocute yourself with. Sounds like sci-fi to a petrol head, no?)

    – manufacturers would perhaps be less likely to want to join the party (but that’s balanced by the fact that the barriers to entry would be lower, potential for success higher and costs far reduced. Also, who the hell would want to enter now after having watched Honda’s effort this year? It would take a very brave CEO and one without a potential $18bn fine to pay).

    – a few fans who prefer the quieter engines would have had to bite the bullet and fork out for some ear plugs / defenders for the kids

    – a small number of road cars (usually hyper cars e.g. La Ferrari et al but perhaps some more ubiquitous examples) may not be hybrids OR the manufacturers may have continued their adventures in LMP1 category to develop this technology

    I imagine people will think of some points that I’ve not considered but for every fan that we’ve lost, how many have we gained and was this change good for racing? I think, on balance, it was not.

    I would also encourage those who are closest to the sport to grow their peripheral vision. If the majority of people one encounters are F1 people, or racing people, or motor industry people and the majority of fans that they speak to are ones inspired enough to attend a race, or an “Audience With”, or write a blog post, then is that a good enough barometer?

    Joe – I struggle to imagine what state the racing would have to be in for you to declare a crisis. I cannot think of a race that you wouldn’t find something to get excited about or be fascinated by. That is wonderful for me (your reader) but it’s not a feeling shared by the silent majority and those are the people that this sport is very much in a crisis state with.

    Some of those people were previously passionate enough to attend races and are no longer, or would be watching on TV (even during the ‘boring’ refuelling era, with ‘no over taking’ and when tyres ‘lasted a whole race’ – which is too simple a view) but aren’t today. I know lots of them and very few that bother to swicth-on any more. I find myself on my own and dissatisfied with what I’m watching.

    I believe, although Bernie & Max are certainly playing important PR cards for various self-serving reasons, that they are right. F1 needs a revolution… it needs a renaissance in fact. It’s entered a ‘death by 1000 cuts’ dark-age, inspired by venture-capitalist owners. The cuts being pay-TV, spiralling ticket-prices, FOM holding circuits to ransom, a move away from a passionate European fan base towards ill-conceived, far-flung and short-lived race destinations, DRS, ridiculous tyres that were asked for but never intended, a constant refusal to move away from total front-end aerodynamic reliance, hybrid engines with all their expense, fuel-saving and lack of occasion, cars that 17 year-olds can drive (for all the driver’s brilliance, they should be scarier than that) and I’m sure the list goes on.

    I just want the sport I love to get back to the essence of motor-racing and real, human competition. I think it’s very achievable but it needs everyone to first acknowledge that we’ve been going in the wrong direction for years. What we’re left with might still pass as ‘ok’ for some but for many it’s not and that can’t go on forever. It will not sustain our sport.

    Matt

    1. Hi Joe,

      Since writing my post I’ve had the chance to read a few more of your replies and I would add:

      – I notice you acknowledge that the current state of affairs is ‘pretty bad’ (I’m not sure if you’d apply the same to the racing, which I do) but I’m glad you do acknowledge it and also that you try to view things from the fans’ perspective

      – You see no point in if’s and buts, so perhaps will not be interested in whether the change to hybrid was a good one?

      – Given you are now dead set on hybrid, would you settle for getting rid of the turbo recovery (perhaps rid of turbo altogether?), limiting to kinetic energy recovery and upping the rev limit / engine allocation, so we could claw back the noise and visceral aspects that many fans find amiss?

      – I agree 100% with a cost cap, which I didn’t mention

      Good debate on here today!

      1. It makes not sense to change the engine rules now. What will happen now is that the manufacturers will all get closer. If you change the rules again one will get ahead. That is how it is.

      1. I understand your point but it’s invalid.

        The rules changed in 2014 moving the exhaust to a position which makes it impossible to ‘blow’ the floor, so Red Bull / Renault / Vettel would’ve been robbed of the weapon that delivered all of those 4 preceding championships, even without the switch to hybrid engines.

        A good example of the effect can be seen in 2011 at the British GP where the engine maps were temporarily restricted to prevent off-throttle blowing and Alonso scored a surprise & solitary win of the season for Ferrari.

        So, yes, I still think it would’ve been closer than 2011 and 2013 if we had the old engines.

  27. If these chinese chappies do buy out CVC and the EU commission declare the 100 year deal void, they may find they actually own four fifths of Felicity Arkwright. Bernie may be able to run rings round the german courts and even dodge the inland revenue but he would not welcome having a Chinese triad or two on his tail 🙂 one does get the feeling that CVC want out soon before the house of cards collapses.

  28. “That works in NASCAR. They race on the track and work together off it. They are not divided and conquered, they work with the owners in a constructive way. They work like a corporation. They also work with the circuit owners, rather than simply exploiting them.”

    Yeah, and they manipulate the races so the best dirver never wins clearly…

  29. As our late President Reagan used to say, “There you go again.” Bernie, stirring the pot again (and again, and again, and again, and so on, world without end. I’m pretty sure his last words will be about some crazy change to the F1 rules.

  30. CVC fund IV, the current owner of the Formula 1 holding company has, according to the CVC website, a duration of 10 years. CVC Fund IV closed for investors during 2005. The website also states all CVC’s investments. You can see there that F1 is one of the oldest investments still in the portfolio.

    I am not an investor in this fund, but I know that private equity firms like CVC can ask their shareholders usually 2 times for an extension of 1 year. Joe are you able to check this in the original Fund IV prospectus? Anyway, based on this assumption CVC needs to return cash to its investors probably by 2017 at the latest. Bear in mind that it takes a year from start to completion of a complex deal (regulatory approval etc) like this.

    Also, interesting to see that Max Mosley (the original legal strategist for the first CVC transaction) has risen like a phoenix. My bets are that all this tearing up the rulebook nonsense is to create uncertainty for potential buyers to drive the price down. Oh, and there is an EU case announced…..

    What you see happening now is actually very simple: CVC is under pressure from its investors to cash in the returns of its investments. Bernie is doing everything he can to put the price down as he wants a bigger slice of the pie with the new investor(s).

    Bernie is an absolute deal master.

  31. Joe, you say that F1 engine building is relatively cheap for manufacturers, but do you think that its more the PR that keeps them away?
    When an automobile company are closing factories, cutting jobs, lowering dividend payments etc, they are then seen spending money on what people would see , rightly or wrongly, as a vanity project, particularly if someone sees what headlines renault and honda, who in the past have been incredibly successful, have been getting recently.

      1. Sorry, I mean ‘F1 is still cheap when one looks at the R&D spending in the automobile industry.’ Or have I misunderstood your meaning?

  32. “He (Bernie) doesn’t really care who owns the sport if he’s still in charge. That is his game.”

    Time to remove that piece (Bernie) from the board. Surely if a sale was close at hand, CVC would stifle his agitating statements in order to protect the asset???

  33. Spot on Joe. The sport needs a clear path to the future with progressive values at the heart of any plan. The smaller teams need a bigger share of the pie, no one should get prize money they haven’t earned, and the rapacious VCs should go back to what they do best, namely asset stripping widget factories. Does Bernie not realise that he himself is largely responsible for the governance disaster and the sport’s appalling current image among the general public and wider consumers ( I am not talking hardcore fans). That he is central to the problem that companies no longer want to get involved as was the case in the past in sponsorship and marketing terms? Do Facebook and Google want to get involved in a sport that is going to Azerbaijan at the expense of classic races in major commercial markets that are ingrained to the sport’s DNA? His comments about wanting to force the teams back to V8s (even though he can’t) show what an irrelevancy he is becoming. And in respect to him being a short-termist, it’s hardly surprising that an 85-year-old would take such a view. Time for regime change.

  34. “The F1 rule book is fine, it just needs a few tweaks. The engines are exactly what F1 needs.”

    I would respectfully disagree. The racing ranges from fairly to extremely anodyne these days, and the cars sound, at least to my and my friends’ ears at the several GPs we’ve attended this year, like animal flatulence.

  35. I could be wrong, but reading between the lines I get a sense of:

    – Bernie has secretly sired a male heir in the last few weeks

    – All deeds of ownership have been vested in the babby under an obscure clause inserted by Bernie into the original draft agreements

    – As he is legally a minor, a regency or tribunal of governance has been set up to steer the boat till Bernardino comes of age, consisting of:
    Bernie
    Max
    An EU appointee [smart idea], most probably the ex prime minister of Ireland, greece, or portugal [whichever is first to resign from office]

    – Concorde agreement has been shredded: new deal gives Ferrari and McLaren 40% and 30% respectively of all prize money, 30% to be shared equally among the rest

  36. Your observation re NASCAR is so true. I am a race fan who doesn’t care much about individual races. I hugely enjoy following the long-term fortunes of the sport and how managed. For years, NASCAR has been managed so that everyone prospers. The drivers and the teams realize the significance of each team and driver having a fair deal. The comparison with F-1 is stark. The F-1 world disdains NASCAR (but not as much as used to be the case) while it struggles from crisis to crisis. There are some extremely talented, intelligent managers in F-1, but maybe not enough to impose rationality.

  37. I love reading your commentary Joe. Well researched, written and relevant.
    Wish you were an advisor to F1 power brokers and they took action from your sensible advice.
    But sadly when money and power are involved, rational sense is ignored and greed takes over. Pity.

  38. “Yes, perhaps there should be some bonuses for good results, but the belief that the sport should pay Ferrari because of its “star” value is simply flawed.”

    Yes.

    “The “star” value will generate revenues elsewhere, from sponsorships, from merchandising and from car sales.”

    Yes.

    “And the commercial rights people, they should have a smaller share but be contracted to promote the sport, looking at ways for the growth to be sustainable in the long term and not simply ripping cash out of the back door. ”

    Yes.

    Since the not-free-to-air deal in the UK I rarely watch races real time. I know I can’t watch some of them real timeso I tendnot to watch any of them real time. They’ve now setup a behaviour in me that probably means I’ll never watch them real time. Who’s fault is that? Not mine. It evolved over time because I couldn’t watch them in real-time without a SKY subscription (which is NEVER going to happen).

    I can’t be alone in this reaction to lack of free-to-air broadcasting. The whole F1 revenue model is broken. It badly needs fixing.

    1. Free to air TV is a matter of perspective Stephen. Here in the US NBCSN airs 3-4 free races on broadcast TV (Monaco, USGP, Canada, and maybe 1-2 others), all the rest are on pay cable. I want it, so I pay the fees. Sometimes I DO feel like a despotic regime “buying” the rights to watch a race!!

      It’s all a matter of what one is used to I suppose. If I had it for free and then lost it, I guess I’d be upset as well.

  39. Joe although fans may not be able to help in any way due to the numbers. Can fans push to help F1 and other ways? I was thinking like helping by creating surveys similar to the BBC’s Price of Football Price of Football where the costs of the motorsport viewing experience at circuit and on TV would be exposed and a circuit experience satisfaction gauge for fans of Motorsport worldwide. How about that Joe?

  40. The other day I happened to catch SkyF1 showing the F1 race in Vegas in 1981. It seemed a terrible track but an interesting race nonetheless. However my point is Bernie and Max were very conspicuously matey; presumably as they were both team principles at Brabham.

    Now that they are matey again I wonder what caused their falling out in the intervening years?

  41. What’s your view on the proposed V6 2.2l TT Indycar “F1” engine proposals Joe? Negotiating ploy or an attempt to smash OEM control and to h*ll with F1?

    1. It ha nothing told with with engines, money-saving or whatever. It is just a straight political ploy. I guess that Todt agreed to make lukewarm noises to try to present a united front, but if the FIA did that it would compromising its own hybrid formula, which is about the only good thing that Todt has managed to do.

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