Notebook from home…

IMG_0051It has been a busy time since the Mexican GP, beginning with a flight out to Dallas on Monday morning, followed by a quick bounce on the overnight to Paris. This fitted neatly with Halloween as I was seated behind a crone, who need not have taken the plane to go to Paris, as a broomstick would have done the job. I’ve travelled for 34 seasons and this was the worst passenger I have ever had to deal with. Anyway, I would have written the column if I had had the space to open my computer, but there was not a single minute when that was possible. Anyway, my mood lightened somewhat when I arrived in the City of Light. It was a national holiday, which meant that there was no traffic getting home. This also meant a rare day off as it is the French bank holiday which they call Toussaint, which literally translate as All Saints. It might also be called All Hallows, the night before is the eve of All Hallows, otherwise known as Halloween. All Saints Day is followed by All Souls Day, which is what they celebrate in Mexico as the Día de Muertos, the Day of the Dead. Or in the case of most F1 people at the moment, the day of the dead beat, which is completely different to the noun dead-beat, the one meaning exhausted and the other meaning an idler or a wastrel.

No-one in F1 is idle at the moment, least of all the gossips, who have been very busy in recent days with all manner of tosh-encrusted rumours. One story that seems to have passed without much comment has been the demise of the Audi WEC team, which will close at the end of this season. This is due to a number of factors, not least the fact that Audi never wants to have its name used in the same sentence as “diesel” ever again. The diesel emissions scandal that has done so much damage to the Volkswagen Group has claimed another victim. Audi’s strategy now is to be greener than greener than green and so it has decided to go into Formula E, which is as green as it gets if one avoids the word “batteries”.

It was a surprise to see Alejandro Agag in Mexico on Sunday, but one must presume that he, like many others, is now pitching Liberty Media for a job. Agag seems to have sold most of his Formula E stock and is now in a position to sidle away if a better offer comes along.

Anyway, back to Audi for a moment. The news is sad for Formula 1 because it ought to have been the logical step for Audi as hybrid technology is still expected to have its day before electric machines take over. The most optimistic estimate is that electric cars will make up 58 percent of the car market by 2030, but that is still 14 years away and there will need to be a lot more work done on charging stations if the electric car is to be competitive and sustainable. Hybrids are already being mass-produced and so F1 seems to be a better bet for now.

What’s done is done and the team or engineers at Audi will now break up because Formula E has no need for chassis technology and so while the project will excite the Audi engine men, the designers and an aerodynamic staff will disappear off. I have a feeling that a lot of them will turn up at Sauber, because a lot of work has been done by Audi at Hinwil, especially in the wind tunnel. So this will give Sauber an advantage when it comes to hiring ex-Audi folk. The other person likely to benefit will be Colin Kolles, the former team boss of Force India and Caterham F1, who runs his own ByKolles sports car operation from a town not far from the Audi sporting headquarters. He should be able to hire some of the refugees… Some of the Audi people may end up at Ferrari, if they are brave. The word from down Maranello way is that the end-of-season will see quite a few engineering staff walking away. The word is that Ferrari will be putting huge amounts of effort into getting the engines right next year as horsepower is still deemed to be the primary element in current success in F1. The problem with this idea is that when you push to the limit, you will get more mechanical failures. This may explain the decision by Sauber to stick with 2016 Ferrari engines in 2017 not only will they be cheaper, but they might end up being more reliable…

The wild outbursts of Sebastian Vettel at the end of the Mexican GP are an indication for me of the state of mind of the four-time World Champion who, one might think is grown up enough not to call everyone rude names and to use bad language in relation to Charlie Whiting, the FIA Race Director. I am sure Charlie has heard worse in his long motor racing career, having worked for many years at Brabham, but I do tend to agree that swearing at the teacher in the classroom when the microphones are turned on is neither very charming, nor very intelligent. Vettel was lucky not to get rusticated by the headmaster, Mr Jean Henri Todt. Sebastian seems to have regained his senses after the race and apologized profusely and has written groveling letters to all the injured parties in an effort to save himself a caning, although I guess one should be careful using such language in the same paragraph as the acronym FIA.

Mr Todt was thus given the chance to be gracious. Maybe we can see a little more grace in some of his other dealings in the sport. Todt, it seems, was apparently in a good mood because the United Nations Association of New York (UNANY) named him as Humanitarian of the Year.

I had no idea what a United Nations Association actually was and so I decided to consult my pal Dr Google on the subject and discovered that these are organizations which promote UN activities at local level. The United Nations Association of Minnesota (UNAM), for example, recently held a “Bowl for Peace” event at the Bryant Lake Bowl & Theater in Minneapolis, while the United Nations Association of Greater Oklahoma City (UNAGOC) had a trick-or-treat for UNICEF over Halloween. I am thankful to the United Nations Association of Beverly Hills (UNABH) because it has introduced me to a new concept while surfing around these associations. UNABH believes that we should all fight for LGBTI rights and I now know that the i in the acronym means intersex persons, which is an umbrella term used to describe those with a “wide range of natural bodily variations”. The things that you learn in motor racing…

Anyway, good for JT for pushing the cause of humanitarianism in New York City, a place where even Sebastian Vettel would blanch at the language of the street. Sebastian’s apparent desperation at the moment is a sign of a man who is not at peace and I fear that he is suffering from Ferraritis, which is a condition which racing drivers suffer from when they go to Maranello and realize that it is not like it used to be in the days of Mr Todt and Mr Brawn.

On the subject of Mr Brawn, there are loads of excited stories about him being plucked from retirement to become an officer of Liberty Media in the Formula One group. There are a couple of things that suggest that this is not a very realistic story. Firstly, Liberty Media is not really in any fit state to start appointing people to different jobs. At the moment, Chase Carey is busy listening to the views of all and sundry and trying to figure out how the whole F1 business works and until he has fully assessed the problems, it would be unwise to appoint someone to fix them.

Secondly, there is the thorny question of a Mr Ecclestone, who still holds sway in the sport. I know this because in Mexico the sign FOM over the Formula One hospitality unit was replaced by the sign “Mr E”. This may have been a kind gesture to help Bernie celebrate his 86th birthday, but equally there are some who would say that it was a message about power.

I don’t think Ross is going to go wandering into a power struggle with Mr E. I may be wrong but Ross was always very smart and good at politics, so he might have just a few teeny-weeny reservations about taking on such a job when a man like Bernie is in the big office. I suggest that Ross may have been asked to give Liberty some of his advice and wisdom, rather than agreeing to throw himself headlong on to a barbecue. Brawn is a man who might be useful for Liberty at some point, but I think it is a little too early to be doing that sort of thing. On the same subject, I note that another F1 refugee Adam Parr, who recently wrote a book with Brawn, has just started a course at the Blavatnik School of Government in Oxford. This is a school of public policy. This follows on from his PhD in eighteenth-century history and literature at University College in London. I cannot help but get the impression that the former Williams CEO – a very bright man – is keeping himself busy, waiting for something to happen… I doubt that it is to find a job as the head of another F1 team, although there are several that might benefit from his expertise and energy.

On the driver front, things are rather complicated at the moment and it was clear in Mexico that no deals were actually signed. Ocon was due to meet with Vijay Mallya in England this week, while Felipe Nasr was on a flight to Miami out of Mexico City on Monday and is likely to have gone straight on to Brazil, so as to be ready to give his best in front of his home crowd. My feeling is that Ocon will get the Force India drive, and that Nasr will go to Renault for a year and there will be negotiations to get him into Williams in 2018. He did a good job for the Grove team as a test driver and he would be suitable replacement for Valtteri Bottas, as the Finn will likely move on to Renault in 2018. The problem with the second Renault seat in 2017 is that most of the drivers believe that it is a one-year deal and that is not the best scenario for any of them. Thus there are strong rumours, which are to be believed, that Kevin Magnussen is in discussions to drive alongside Romain Grosjean at Haas next year. Esteban Gutierrez is quick in qualifying and a very nice fellow, but his races have been less than successful and Haas wants to get more points in the future. Gutierrez’s future is pretty unclear at the moment although he might return to Sauber if there is money enough. Having said that there is also Jolyon Palmer and Rio Haryanto who are keen to land seats at Sauber. On paper there are seven seats still available: a Force India, a Williams, a Renault, a Haas, a Sauber and two Manors. In reality, the Williams will be gone tomorrow morning, with Lance Stroll to be announced by Williams. If Ocon lands at Force India and Nasr joins Renault, with Magnussen signing for Haas there will be only three seats: a Sauber and two Manors. With three cars available, the competition will be tight between Pascal Wehrlein, Jolyon Palmer, Esteban Gutierrez and others. Alexander Rossi will not be there, his Indy 500 victory making him much more valuable in the US than in Europe. He has a contract for three years with Andretti Autosport, with backing from Honda, but it is believed that he can get out of his deal if an F1 contract comes along. That’s not likely, but with Honda expected to increase its presence in F1, you never know.

Elsewhere in F1, there is a fair amount of movement among the engineers with everyone wanting to know what will happen to James Allison when his 12 months of gardening leave is over. The F1 Paddock currently sees his future as being with Mercedes GP Petronas, although this would not be easy unless Paddy Lowe departs his role – and there is no sign of that happening. Allison’s head of aerodynamics at Ferrari was Dirk de Beer but he has left the team now and is expected to reappear at Williams.

It is worth noting, by the way, that the Mercedes team may not be called Mercedes AMG Petronas forever. The Malaysian government has long been an investor in the world of motorsport with Petronas providing sponsorship for many of the country’s racing activities. It seems, however, that times are changing and motorsport may not be such a major force in the future. The use of motorsport to drive progress dates back to the 1990s when the then Prime Minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad invested in the Sepang circuit and Petronas began sponsoring F1 teams. Times have changed and in recent weeks Mahathir’s son Mokhzani has resigned from his role as chairman of Sepang, after being asked to leave. Mokhzani has overseen the Malaysian GP organization since 2003. The government is buried in a huge scandal about a sovereign wealth fund diverting money out of the country and into bank accounts of those who ought not have had it. Some of this money seems to have been used to buy a share of Scuderia Toro Rosso, but that has all been sorted out in F1 terms, with Red Bull taking full control of the team once again. The scandal, plus the disastrous drop in the price of oil, means that the government is cutting back and Petronas has axed more than 1000 employees in recent months. The company is cutting $11 billion from its budgets over the next four years. There have been reports that this could impact on the Petronas sponsorship of Mercedes. There are also questions about the future of the Malaysian GP.

55 thoughts on “Notebook from home…

  1. Joe, why is Ocon being considered over Wehrlein for the Force India drive? Wehrlein has finished ahead of him 3 out of 4 times and he was a half second faster in qualifying in Mexico City.

    1. Brundle and Crofty were discussing an incident recently where Wehrlein got stuck in a gravel trap and kept trying to get the car out despite being told several times to switch the engine off to prevent it cooking. Brundle mentioned that someone from another team saw this as the reason he may not be high on many teams’ lists, except Mercedes presumably.

  2. With substantial backing from Honda – does it not make sense for Rossi to do a couple testing appearance with Honda in 2017?

  3. Pretty divided opinions over Seb. I agree that this speaks to the pressure Ferrari is under, and I also agree that such culture needs to change there. I have actually found a parallel between Ferrari and my other favorite team, the Texas Longhorns, and I could rant all day about the importance of patience, and the dangers of expecting victory through a sense of entitlement, but I will spare you and everyone else. I think we all get it.

    You go over to JAonF1’s site, and the majority of comments seem to be understanding and have empathy towards Seb’s last few laps, stuck impatiently behind an exceptionally talented youngster being mislead by his team in an effort to intentionally back Seb into the clutches of their other driver. Lot’s of them don’t even like Seb, but they have eyes. They saw.

    You go over to Motorsport.com, and the majority of comments are from what appear to be a cult of teens who only just learned what Formula 1 is, do not understand basic racing concepts, and somehow think that it is in fact Seb who should apologize to Max. That’s cute.

    I hated RBR after their Pirelli saga, engine saga, and whining, and threats, and I hate them even more now that I see how they intend to go about developing someone who I admire. Max deserves better than Red Bull. I had huge respect for his talent and professionalism last year when most were saying he was too young. Now he is at Red Bull and I despise his attitude, and I feel in my heart that it is coming from Christian and Helmut grooming him the same way they groomed Seb. I can’t believe I actually supported that team, but then again, my allegiance has always been to drivers, and not teams. Also there is the fact that I have huge admiration for Newey. I digress…

    I think it was unfortunate that Seb made his comments, and I am glad he provided the apology that I expected from him, but I understand his frustrations with the handling of the last few laps. That third place was his.

    He had decided on his own initiative that he owed Charlie and Jean an apology. I am waiting to see when Max, or preferably Christian, apologize to Seb, and for the officials to apologize to the fans for the absolute farce of three different third place finishers. Had they acted quickly and decisively, or perhaps had Christian a little more integrity, this would have never happened.

    Final observation: I think we actually saw a preview of next years three way title fight between Seb, Max, and Dan. Three guys with three letter names who will be in positions 1-3 at the end of 2017. At least I hope. Merc who? Lewis who? Nico who? One can dream.

    1. Max did what he was told to do. A team doesn’t decide penalties. The FIA does. You don’t give up positions if there is an argument going on. They got penalised. Verstappen lost his podium. That was fair. Sebastian broke the rules. He lost his place. He was lucky not to be punished for his language. What’s there to complain about?

      1. The only thing against that reasoning is that team radio went over the broadcast from RBR pit wall telling Max to redress. But he didn’t… Just like how he has reacted every other time the team have told him to play nicely.

        I think we’re finally seeing VET’s true colours. They are good fun. We kept hearing he behaved like a spoilt brat behind closed doors and now that they’re goming off the hinges we’re getting the chance to see within.

          1. Plus IIRC the message thet he might be asked to give the position back. To me it sounded like a advanced warning, less so an actual order. If the stewards didn’t give the order to RBR, Max had no business to give the place to Seb. That he was punished later on is part of the game, but you can’t expect the stewards to make up their mind in 20 seconds after the event and were wise to let the last few laps have their course without interference.
            I did find it sad that Dan couldn’t get to go to the podium, because if they could handle the Max punishment before the ceremony, one could expect they could have added Seb’s 10 seconds as well.

    2. I despised Seb during his Red Bull run, especially his Schumi sense of entitlement and his mistreatment of Webber.

      Since his move to Ferrari he has won me over with his patience and pragmatic (seemingly) acceptance of the shit show Ferrari have turned into. His outburst can only be attributed to a loss of said patience as well as a teammate who is on the rebound in his performance.

      Regarding your last comment, MB will not fade away next year, but a 3 team 6 driver fight for the front would be awesome.

    3. Good on Max; he’s a racer in the spirit of the likes of Villeneuve, Senna etc. He’s there to win; not to be courteous to frustrated 4 time WDCs. If SV wants to pass then he’s going to have to do it the hard way; fight to get pass. I think he’s missing RBR where it all seemed to be stacked in his favour; supported by a seemingly docile team environment. A bit tougher at the shambles that is currently the Scuderia. I was sad to see MV be asked to leave before the podium, which reminded me of Senna’s shoddy treatment at the hands of the establishment at Suzuka in 1989. Then SV received his penalty. What goes around……

  4. Joe

    Thank you. As others have previously commented your notebook is very much to be looked forward to, cutting through the fog or is it froth that F1 is, for the most time covered in.

    I think the joint authorship of Ross Brawn and Adam Parr is a significant combination, dare I say alliance.

    They are both great candidates for the two vacant positions, or should I say, should be vacant positions, at the head of the FIA and FOM.

    Sidney

  5. Also the most recent news that VW is departing from WRC. Maybe they might be interested in entering F1 with new owners and their renewed push on hybrid technology?

  6. Man, I was starting to have withdrawal symptoms without The Notebook.

    Anyway, I understand that Seb is also suffering from alonsofication. I’m told that this is a psychological condition that is triggered when a multiple world champion moves to Ferrari expecting to add other championships only to realize that they have stepped in a big ole pile of manure.

  7. Joe – I don’t understand why the FIA is mute, if RB are encouraging Max’s behavior. It is all the more important to punish and let both know bad unsporting behavior has no place in the sport.

    1. In relative terms the engine is the easy bit, the trick is to make a light high capacity high charge/discharge rate battery.

    2. It was part of Max’s alternative cost capped rules. Electric front wheel drive and energy recovery, with all sorts of extra things that enables you to do. Also the variable front flaps were to be unleashed ie to be used independently huge potential wasted! A very great pity we never saw those rules implemented.

  8. Lots of Audi Sport people worked on the winglets of the MotoGP Ducatis when WEC introduced wind tunnel restrictions. Now the winglets are banned from next season, but Ducati went on with alternative solutions for aerodynamic advantage.

    But that is a tiny part where engineers could go to. I think a lot of them will be taken up by various Porsche racing teams around the world now that VW is out of WRC and the Audi WRX team is a niche, too.

    I wonder if Formula E teams will be allowed to make their own chassis, the series will be eligible for the World Championship status, won’t it?

  9. As you point out Brawn might not be keen to get back involved in F1 while Bernie is still around but it would make good sense for Chase Carey to have him as a sounding board as he sift’s through F1’s endless pile of dirty laundry.

    Brawn is very calm and reasonable and has been around the sport a long time so know’s as well as anyone who is telling the truth and who is pushing their own agenda, who to listen to and who to ignore.

  10. Audi leaving the WEC shouldn’t be that much of a surprise as they’ve been there for so long and won absolutely everything multiple times. They also have their clever cousins at Porsche with their flash hybrid tech suddenly making them look like old timers at a rave.

    Audi not switching to F1 should be even less of a surprise. Both Audi & VW have stated numerous times over the years that F1 is far too expensive and the political mess is not attractive to them. Meanwhile, Formula E is a growth series with huge potential, both in terms of publicity and technical innovation, and isn’t very expensive to compete.

    Added to that Audi’s customer racing program is going from strength to strength. Over 200 R8 GT3 cars sold and the introduction of the RS3 TCR touring car. VW are doing the same by ending a successful but expensive WRC program to focus more on their growing customer operations – Golf TCR, R5 rally car and Beetle GRC. All of these models have Audi & VW out on race tracks competing and winning all over the world yet they actually make money from them unlike their expensive factory efforts.

  11. When in France I often use a local Leclerc supermarket, mainly because of their really nice, spacious indoor car park. Not through any loyalty to the brand I should add, far from it in fact. I park right at the back where the electric car charging points are. In all the years I’ve parked there I’ve never seen even one electric car charging there. This is not because people like me use the spaces, although it is, curiously, allowed for some reason. I am for the technology actually and have abandoned diesels in favour of petrol engines until ‘fully electric’ will provide the same facility particularly on long journeys. It goes to show though what a long way ‘clean’ energy has to go before being adopted by the general public.

  12. Joe, I love your blog, and the window in the world many of us love so much that you provide. Even though I’m a particularly well-mannered person (American) almost to a fault, I will never find myself giving you an ounce of sympathy about the seat reclining issue on planes. I’ve spent a good amount of time on long-haul flights, and I don’t care if the Queen of Denmark (England would be too predictable to use), the Pope, the Dali Lama, or Kate Upton is sitting behind me, the first second I can, my seat is going to full recline. Airplane (or aeroplane in your native parlance) seats are cramped and ridiculously small, even for someone under 6ft tall and 160 pounds/11 stone. When we all recline, we’re all equal. It’s only those of us (ahem) who feel for whatever reason we all have a sacred duty to not recline, or to only recline partially who are offended.

    1. “When we all recline, we’re all equal.”

      So, what about the poor sod at the very back row of the plane who is unable to recline their seat?

    2. I don’t fly that often, but mostly with a certain Hong Kong based airline. Those planes have reclining seats within their shell, as to speak. the seat itself slides down, with no discomfort to anyone sitting behind, in front or next to you. Perfect solution, in my opinion.

    3. If you were well-mannered to a fault, you would not expect the entire plane to follow your wishes regardless or their own, nor disregard the percentage loss of another passenger’s “cramped and ridiculously small” space for a similar increase in your own.

      1. It is generally accepted by those who travel a lot that at mealtimes one sits up and allows the people behind space. The flight crew generally enforce this. In this case they suggested that everyone behind this crone recline their seats – which was the wrong answer. It was simply selfish and unthinking and I’ve never seen a worse case. That’s all.

    4. Can I suggest, Scott, that a little bit of ‘ask before you recline’ might be the well-mannered behaviour, before you impinge on the lap of the neighbour behind. And just because others do it to you, doesn’t make it right for you to do it to others.
      At the moment you’ve come across as ‘rude to everyone’, rather than ‘particularly well-mannered’.

    5. I prefer to consider others before reclining however, on the basis of your comments, I fear it might simply be a cultural thing. We have a saying in the UK; “I’m alright Jack”. That seems rather apt here…..

  13. Question for you: In the longer term (20 years perhaps?), as electric cars inevitably become the norm and hybrids start disappearing into history, do you see Formula E becoming the worlds top motorsport series?

    I just find it hard to believe that F1 (even under new management) would be forward thinking enough to look to the future and become an all-electric series before it’s already been overtaken by Formula E.

  14. “I am sure Charlie has heard worse in his long motor racing career, having worked for many years at Brabham, but I do tend to agree that swearing at the teacher in the classroom when the microphones are turned on is neither very charming, nor very intelligent” Comment of the piece. Another great article.

  15. Joe, what are your thoughts on Ted Kravitz’s theory regarding Paddy Lowe/Ferrari?

    It’s in his Qualifying Notebook video but briefly Paddy may think that Merc are at the peak of the success curve and will start sliding down the other side. Add in the potential for a sainthood if he succeeds turning Ferrari around and the presumed mega bucks on offer.

    Thoughts?

    Long term fan of your blog BTW and and have sent a letter to Santa for a GP+ sub….

  16. “although I guess one should be careful using such language in the same paragraph as the acronym FIA.”

    Brilliant!

  17. Interesting, entertaining and informative as usual. It has probably been said before and maybe you’ve given it some thought: your notebooks, with added geographically appropriate pieces of GP+ motorsport history articles would make a great book, a bit late for this Christmas, but next?

  18. It’ll be interesting to see how much longer Gutierrez is in F1. Maybe he has some peso’s behind him and Ferrari seem to like him but in three years he hasn’t shown anything in terms of results.

    To be fair he’s never had a good car under him but compared to his team-mates he hasn’t done anything. Both times he’s had quality team-mates he’s been comfortably outclassed (Hulkenberg & Grosjean) and against a journeyman like Sutil he was about even. When there is some geniune talent around like Magnussen, Ocon & Wehrlein it’s hard to see him holding his seat for much longer.

  19. Seb’s comment over the radio did not need to be broadcasted but in saying that , there was a ton more F1 news on mainstream radio & tv in Australia including edetorials , I loved it.
    Moto GP was sold out in Malaysia & circuit contract extended by 5 years , the times are changing .
    How does Ross & Jean get along ?

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